GCN Live contributor Steven Birn and GCN host and online contributor Josh Tolley were kind enough to give us their differing analysis of the current state of the GOP presidential race – along with a few other political talking points – in a piece we like to call 7 Questions.

1. What have the first three primaries told you about the Republican presidential race?
Steven Birn (SB): We’ve learned a couple things so far. First, you’ll get a truer sense of what the Republican rank and file wants in the south. Iowa and New Hampshire allow independents and Democrats to vote, which skews results. Most of the southern states don’t allow such persons to vote in GOP primaries. Second, we learned that Newt Gingrich is a fighter and Mitt Romney is weak under pressure.
Josh Tolley (JT): It has told us the Republican voting base is lost at sea. Here is a President with tanking approval numbers that we haven’t seen since Jimmy Carter. If the Republican party had the pulse of the Republican voting base we wouldn’t be seeing a campaign that is led by two candidates the Republicans were ashamed to claim as their own just a few short years ago. When a party is so weak that it has to puke up a couple rejects and still are in danger of losing to the worst President in over a generation, they are revealing their disconnect with the American people.
2. In one sentence for each remaining candidate, what about each one concerns you the most?
SB: Romney’s inability to articulate the conservative position on any subject is very concerning. Newt’s history of self destruction ought to concern everyone. Rick Santorum’s smug looks and lack of money ought to concern conservatives. Ron Paul’s absurd foreign policy should concern every American.
JT: Newt Gingrich is a globalist wrapped in conservative clothing and a chameleon’s skin with either no understanding of what America is or an intent in this heart which America has been fighting to prevent. Mitt Romney is the safe establishment plant who protects the same corrupt interests that Obama has been serving over the past three years. Santorum concerns me from the standpoint that he can pull the social/moral conservative vote which is starting to realize Newt and Mitt are not conservative at all. Ron Paul concerns me because I don’t think he is doing enough through his messaging to bridge the gap between those who understand what conservatism really is and those who still believe this one party – two name system lie which has been shoved down our throats for decades.
3. What do you make of Mitt Romney’s release of his tax records? What do you make of Newt Gingrich’s affiliation with Fannie and Freddie Mac?
SB: Romney’s tax returns are none of our business and irrelevant. Newt’s firm doing consulting work for Freddie is likewise irrelevant. A $300,000 annual contract is small potatoes for both Freddie and Newt’s firm. Both of these issues are irrelevant and shift focus away from what’s important: Barack Obama’s dismal record as President.
JT: Mitt Romney’s release of his tax records really doesn’t reveal too much to me. Come on, did anyone really not know he was rich? He played the same tax game all of those who pay taxes play while showing he believes his religious convictions. If he does a good job getting the attention away from the fact he is rich, it actually shows a man who puts his money where his mouth is. Newt Gingrich is a completely different situation. Newt worked for a corrupt government integrated company in a sub-contracted manner and we are supposed to believe that this man who has numerous ethical violations in the past was just a highly paid historian who just happened to be Speaker of the House?
4. Considering Rick Santorum won Iowa and was competitive in other states AND Ron Paul has the strongest and most loyal base, do either Santorum or Paul still stand a chance for the GOP nomination?
SB: Santorum has a shot because debates are the great equalizer in this race. He does a good job debating and so long as Newt and Romney are cat fighting over nothing Santorum looks Presidential. Ron Paul has zero chance at the nomination because his foreign policy is so far outside the mainstream of the GOP that not even his sound economic policy can save him.
JT: No. Santorum right now is running for a place in the next administration. They know he will pull the conservative and religious vote that Newt and Mitt seem to be spitting at and come summer the lead on the ticket will need all the help from that voting base they can get. Ron Paul is probably the candidate with the best chances of beating President Obama in November as he has the largest amount of “real” pull power with Democrats and Independents. If the GOP really wanted to win they would run with the candidate who pulls the largest number of non-GOP voters (that’s what wins elections) and since they don’t seem to want to do that, it would be a safe bet to say Ron Paul will not be allowed to win the nomination.
5. Did the Monday and Thursday debate have a significant impact on the Florida Primary? How and why?
SB: Monday’s debate won’t change anything in Florida because it was the worst performance by a moderator and a network so far. Brian Williams and his local high school sidekicks were dreadful. About all we learned is that Romney thinks Castro will meet his maker, Newt thinks he’s going straight to Hell. Meanwhile the economy stinks, prices are going up and the Federal debt inches towards $16 trillion. Williams wasn’t interested in those issues, I suspect because they make Obama look bad. The debates matter, just as much as money right now.
JT: The roll of the Florida debate is really just to help the establishment decide which candidate, Romney or Newt, wins the hearts and minds of the GOP fan base. Right now we see Newt playing to the “frustrated” establishment while Mitt is playing to the “old school” side of GOP voters who think the answer to bringing back America is as easy as getting Obama out of the White House. The debates are basically a thermometer at this point to gauge the amount of heat the GOP fan base will want to see play out in this election cycle once the incumbent enters they fray.
6. How do you think President Obama’s State of the Union address affected the countries politics? Was it uniting or divisive? Was it about the state of the country or was it a platform for his reelection?
SB: Obama gave another re-election campaign speech in the House last night. It won’t unite anyone, though it won’t divide us further. In two weeks will anyone have remembered this speech? If not, then the speech was, if not a failure, irrelevant. At best the speech will shore up the far left and get them on board for the fall.
JT: President Obama has pretty much lost all relevance as an ambassador of change by this point. When even the liberal media starts getting on his case about failed promises and hollow speeches, there is no longer a teleprompter to pull this lame duck back up. Now, taking away the fact that nobody believes he will bring change and results, he can still wreck some havoc on this nation in the form of division and class warfare. Even though he knows better, he is using tax and class as things that would divide the public. So while we are distracted by the lie of taxing the rich, the systematic dismantling of this nation through the perversion of the Constitution and the selling of sovereignty can continue in broad daylight. The real shame is that if the American populace was wise, we would take these political lies and use them to unite against a common threat.
Clearly his intention was to present his case for re-election. You can take his campaign speeches, his other State of the Union speeches, and compare them with his actions and see they don’t match up. Leaving us with three options, he is either lying to our face without knowing it (which is a mental health condition), he is not capable of performing his job duties, or he is willingly deceiving those he swore to lead for the sole purpose of keeping the White House, and the power it provides, for another four years.
7. What would be your preferred Republican presidential ticket and why (President and Vice President)? What do you think the GOP presidential ticket will actually be?
SB: I wish it was Cain/Bachmann or Cain/Rubio. I was never completely sold on Cain but he had a very innovative platform, which is more than can be said for the four remaining candidates. I don’t know if Newt has it in him to pull this race off. But if he does, a Newt/Rubio or Newt/Jindal ticket would be very strong. I wouldn’t be shocked if Newt at least approached Rand Paul.
JT: I think it will be Romney/Christie most likely. Romney gives the traditional Republican candidate while Christie would bring the Tea Party and Newt Gingrich supporters. Other VP possibilities would be Allen West, Mitch Daniels, and Bobby Jindal.
As far as what I would like the ticket to look like, I’m a bit torn. On one side I would like to see a Ron Paul ticket with a strong personality and presence as his VP, either a military personality or a solid business character to counter Ron’s nice old guy image. A Rand Paul/Michael Savage ticket might be fun, just as a counter to what we have been corrupted by over the past 4 administrations. On the other side, part of me would like to see a Barack Obama/Harry Reid ticket. NOT because I support what those two are trying to shove down our throat but because America is so comfortable with our destruction at the hands of these sort of politicians that perhaps if it continued to the point where more people felt the boot of tyranny on their neck we would wake up and fight for what makes people more than animals and our nation more than just a piece of land. We have a tendency to think that if we get the right leader in the White House then we, as citizens, can just sit back and not work at living out our freedoms. This is a very dangerous place to be and a vulnerable mindset to have as a nation. My fear is that if Romney, Newt, or Santorum win we will lose our freedom, sovereignty, and success even faster because we would be under the false impression that we have an “anti-Obama” and that is was only Obama that caused our problem when in reality it was our own ignorance and ability to maintain ground which we already had.
Bonus Question: Of all the issues – social, economic, foreign, etc. – what is the most important to fix for the future well-being of our country? How can this be accomplished?
SB: So long as the nation continues to legalize and fund abortion, so long as the illegitimacy rates are as high as they are, so long as the family is destroyed via illegitimacy and no-fault divorce and so long as the Christian faith is left behind in the hearts of the people and politicians, we have no hope to get any better. But there is hope if each of us individually returns to the Christian faith and to the church. We can build up from there. But until then, all the fixes proposed will just be Band-Aid on an underlying problem: The lack of true Christian faith in this country. Nobody wants to hear it but it needs to be said.
JT: Freedom is the most important issue at the moment. We are at a place where if we lose our freedom we cannot have an impact on the social issues, we cannot have an impact on our economic issues, and we certainly cannot have a positive impact on foreign issues. Most people make the mistake of thinking that the freedom issue is just fodder for talk show hosts and that freedom is not being lost but rather just being transformed. This mistake in thinking is made even more dangerous when you understand we cannot put this genie back in the bottle. With the advancements in technology, a glowingly intertwined world stage, and a lack of values in the hearts of people, it is now or never in making our stand for the preservation of what we need most…freedom.
This is why some candidates, like Ron Paul, do not always have to be agreed with on policy but still make good candidates because freedom is preserved. Where as there may be up sides to these other candidates but all of those remaining are pushing for a lack of freedom in some way, shape, or form. When freedom is lost for one person, it is lost for every person.
To bring freedom back we need to do a better job of living out the freedom we have. For a couple decades now we have all been proud of the freedoms we have been blessed with but we didn’t practice those freedoms. This is like having a tool in the garage, it is yours, you know you have it, but if you never use it you will continue to believe it is yours, you will still tell everyone how great it is but someone could steal it and you would never know it until one day you need it and it is no longer available.
One of the key elements to living out and regaining freedom is to reinstate our grasp on free enterprise. Free enterprise is the fuel for freedom. You can look at the decline of entrepreneurship and a rise in the loss of freedom.
Previous 7 Questions article:
- 7 Questions: Ron Paul
Steven Birn is an attorney and conservative political junkie and blogger. For more news and commentary visit Steven Birn Speaks.
Josh Tolley is the host of The Josh Tolley Show, which airs on GCN Monday-Friday 9:00-11:00am Central Time. Listen to the show On Demand.
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